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verifiable-reasoning on VCBench

Vela + OxfordClassical ML
Board as of 2026-10-07

verifiable-reasoning scores F0.5 27.7 on VCBench, the venture capital benchmark from the University of Oxford and Vela Research, with 30.6% precision and 21.0% recall on the 4,500-founder private test set. That is rank 11 of 32, 2.6× the F0.5 of tier-1 VCs and 3.2× Y Combinator, at $0 per 1,000 founders scored.

verifiable-reasoning on the VCBench leaderboard today
Rank
#11 of 32
F0.5
27.7
Precision
30.6%
Recall
21.0%
Cost / 1k founders
$0

Scored on the 4,500-founder private test set, mean over three folds. That is 2.6× the F0.5 of tier-1 VCs. See the full leaderboard.

Compared with the reference rows

EntryPrecisionRecallF0.5Cost / 1k
verifiable-reasoning30.6%21.0%27.7$0
Think-Reason-Learn Ensemble40.6%30.1%37.9$0.87
Tier-1 VCs23.0%5.2%10.7n/a
Y Combinator14.0%6.9%8.6n/a
Random Classifier9.0%9.0%9.0$0

Human rows are normalized to the dataset's 9% success rate, so every entry is compared on the same base rate. Costs use list prices on 2026-09-24.

How it was scored

No LLM runs at scoring time. A trained model reads structured features from the anonymized profile (education, career history, prior companies) and scores the founder directly, so the API cost at scoring is $0. Training cost is excluded, the same rule applied to every entry.

Frequently asked questions

What does verifiable-reasoning score on VCBench?
verifiable-reasoning scores F0.5 27.7 on VCBench, with 30.6% precision and 21.0% recall, rank 11 of 32 as of 2026-10-07.
Does verifiable-reasoning beat human investors at predicting founder success?
Yes. Its F0.5 is 2.6 times that of tier-1 VCs (10.7) and 3.2 times Y Combinator (8.6), after both are normalized to the dataset's 9% base rate.
How much does verifiable-reasoning cost per 1,000 founders?
$0 at scoring time: no LLM runs when verifiable-reasoning scores a founder. Training cost is excluded for every entry.

About VCBench

VCBench is the first benchmark for venture capital. It tests how well AI models, AI-native venture capital methods and human investors predict which startup founders will succeed, on 9,000 anonymized founder profiles. It was built by the University of Oxford and Vela Research, the research arm of Vela Partners, an AI-native quant venture capital firm in San Francisco. Many methods on the leaderboard are open source in Think-Reason-Learn.